what's going on guys dare here with fantasy football advice coming at you with another top five video today's video this is going to be a good one it is really important what we did with this is combine some players that we had on other lists players that we really feel strong about that are going in the earlier rounds we took one from each position so one quarterback one tight end one receiver one running back and then also threw in a late round guy and created this list for you guys of the top five players to avoid in 2018 fantasy football before we do jump into the list though don't forget to enter the giveaway we are going to be giving away side memorabilia all offseason all you have to do to enter is follow both Nick and I on Twitter make sure you're subscribed to the channel and you'll be automatically entered to win also don't forget we have the deal with draftkings all you have to do to get our premium rankings that comes with brisk ratings target shares player breakdowns projected ranges of outcome strategies for each stage of the draft and access to our exclusive Members Only Facebook group all you have to do to get access to that is instead of paying the regular price of $20 all you have to do is create an account on draftkings sign up deposit ten dollars and you will be getting access to our premium rankings absolutely pretty and who knows that ten dollars if you listen to us and you take RDFS advice you could turn that into more money we could literally be paying you to use our draft rankings clearly it's a great deal but let's move on to the stat of the day yesterday's side of the day was which receiver who had at least 10 targets in the red zone had the absolute worst red zone Petre the answer to that was T Y Hilton and the winner was Logan Devine thank you very much and as we all know T Y Holton he's a small guy he's never gonna be a red zone guy we don't predict him to have a ton of touchdowns even coming into this season and that's with projecting a healthy Andrew Luck obviously his red zone catch rate is probably going to be better this year because when you move from Jacobi per set to Luck you're just gonna see improvement all around but on to today's tide of the day question we're gonna stick with red zone which receiver led the league in catch rate inside the 10 line okay so which receivers led the league in catch rate in 2017 inside the 10-yard line leave your answer in the comment section down below we'll be happy to let you know who wins now onto the top-five list of the players to avoid we think it's very fitting to start this list at the quarterback position since in general we avoid taking quarterbacks early and it should come as no surprise that leading this list is none other than – Shaun Watson himself of the Houston Texans realistically we just don't understand how DeSean Watson's a DP has not fallen yet preseason is already here and as of recording he is currently ranked as the second quarterback coming off the board based on current ADP in the experts consensus rankings on fantasy pro's calm hasn't met QB for clearly quarterback for is a little bit more reasonable but it's still a high expectation for deshaun Watson coming into 2018 he reached an extremely high end of variance in a positive way deshaun Watson ended up throwing a touchdown on one in every ten point three attempts not completions attempts for reference Aaron Rodgers who is one of the most accurate and efficient quarterbacks especially in the red zone in the entire league in throughout history has a career average of a touchdown every fifteen point six attempts so literally it would take Rodgers over 50% more attempts to score the same amount of touchdowns at the rate that Watson did last season does that sound very realistic to you I don't think so now if we do want to move it over to completions deshaun Watson had a touchdown every six point six completions and I'm not even counting his rushing touchdowns which he did have two in seven games now – everybody else who's hearing this they probably think that's great that's a selling point you think DeSean Watson is the greatest player to ever touch the football field but if you ask us I think it's insanity it's going to be impossible to replicate and that's not the only red flag that Watson has now nobody is mentioning how bad this defense was in 2017 they allowed a league-high 27 point two points last season like I said league-high the 31st ranked team because remember there's only 32 teams was allowing one point six points fewer than the Texans one point six points in the NFL on average is a giant gap and for those of you who wonder if maybe that was skewed because the defense got worse once Watson left false watson was the QB this team allowed an average of twenty six point nine points per game which is just a mere point three points less per game so it's very negligible and the team itself would have still ranked dead last in the league at thirty two of thirty two coming in to 2018 this team is going to be improved on defense you just don't have Jadeveon Clowney and JJ Watt on the field and ranked 32nd remember JJ Watt has won Defensive Player of the Year and while he has dealt with injuries he very well could do it again in 2018 also if they signed Tyree and Mathieu and two other corners to help bolster up that past defense so for shootout potential Watson may not need to do as much when it comes to the passing game and that actually could be a good thing for this team in their future he's coming off an ACL tear which could really limit a guy like Watson who's a mobile quarterback and we're not saying that he can't make a full recovery it just means that he may have trouble trusting his own body at least to start initially and this team if they're smart they have to think long term they don't want to put the Shaun Watson out there to get hurt his initial injury happen during practice so it's a little different than comparing it to someone like Carson Wentz who really dope for a touchdown and that's how you injured him but you just don't want deshaun Watson to get hurt especially since you see the type of potential that he can have for this team in the future but basically there are just a number of reasons why deshaun Watson is due for a down year compared to what he posted on a per game average last season and hey he may still finish top eight the only problem he's going as quarterback to and believe us in your home leagues in your office leagues he's going to be a major target for a lot of people I wouldn't even be surprised if some people in those types of leagues take him ahead of Aaron Rodgers avoid him at that draft spot at all costs just remember it's very deep position moving on we have Evan Engram of the New York Giants he comes in as our tight end player to avoid this year in agram he's an easy one to talk about now I know there's a lot of Evan Engram fans out there I'm not going to be able to convince everybody but in order to love Ingram this year you do have to ignore a lot of facts you have to excuse a lot of things and push a certain narrative in order for him to succeed there are way too many things going against him this year and I'll start to dive into them right now one of the glaring red flags that you notice immediately when comparing last year to this season is just the sheer amount of weapons this has as opposed to last year and then you also have to factor in how inefficient he was on a per target basis and those games were Angra did really perform and he played really well and he was the player to own those came when there was no receivers on this team Odell Beckham out Brandon Marshall out sterling Shepherd out not only that this team didn't just lack weapons in the receiving game there was no capable running backs that they could beam on out of the backfield this year it's a completely different story but what I was coming back and obviously everyone believes in him he's being drafted his wide receiver 3 so if you don't you're in the minority I definitely believe in him I personally have him as my wide receiver to that's neither here nor there that's splitting hairs but excluding Odell you have say qualm barkley drafted not 4th overall not 3rd overall but second overall and he's not a Leonard fournette this is a guy who was drafted for superior pass-catching abilities he's going to catch a lot of balls and I'm talking 60-plus which means that is going to garner a large target market share Barkley is single-handedly going to change the whole identity of this team on offense having an effective run game is going to definitely slow the game down then also factor this team is not going to be playing from behind in every single game like they did last season remember they finished three and 13 they are going to be in a position certain times at the season where they're going to be up late in the game and they're going to be able to run the ball if you ask me I think the Giants themselves are one of the better teams that you can bet on this season right now they're coming in at 50 to 1 underdogs but that's just a side note one thing I've been hearing a lot is people talk about how Pat Sherman is coming in and what he's been able to do with the tight ends and how that makes Evan Engram much more valuable this season and I want to make it clear yes I do believe that Angra will have his games he's going to score touchdowns he's going to get yardage but when it comes to Pat Shermer just remember he was the offensive coordinator to two years when Kyle Rudolph's target hair dropped from 132 to 81 if there's something in this offense that's working he's going to stick with it when you have a guy like Odell Beckham and Odell Beckham is significantly better than Stefon Diggs or Adam Thielen and as much as we love Cooke say qualm Barkley should be much much better than Java cook so all this adds up to Evans is just simply not going to get over seven targets per game like he did last season and with the reduction of targets you just have to bank on basically efficiency and that is an area where in 2017 when he did get a large opportunity share he severely struggled in the efficiency department he had 11 total drops which was absolutely monstrous for the tight end position he also ranked 11th in yards per out run which if you break it down that is absolutely abysmal considering the involvement that he had in the office not only that but he ranked 26 of 30 in his catch rate on catchable teeth targets so it's easy to see how if he didn't get such a high volume share he would not have been a stud whatsoever now in 2018 we can easily predict that he's not going to get the same amount of volume which means he will likely be more similar to those later round tight ends and when I say that I just mean that they're gonna have their good games and they're going to have their bad games more often times than not it's going to be reliant on a touchdown and that's okay like I said most tight ends they get their points that way the only difference is Evan Engram is costing a six-round pick this year do yourself a favor avoid Evan Engram at his current drop price and get the better value later in the draft at the tight end position moving on to the running back on this list and it is Miami Dolphins running back Kenyan Drake now admittedly Kenyan Drake has been a tough player to gauge throughout this offseason to start he's had an immense amount of hype surrounding him last season he played extremely well in both rushing and receiving and is finished for 2017 last year was 883 total yards and four touchdowns that's rather impressive considering he didn't get double-digit carries until the final five weeks of the season and that's where he really lit it up yeah average 119 yards per game and looked to be the official newest member of the RB 1 crew he appeared to be able to run well he appeared to be able to catch and we saw that if everything pans his way he would be a fantasy asset for some teams now coming into this season there are a few issues with drink issues that make him too risky of a pick to really count on first off Drake has always been prospected as a satellite back as opposed to a three dot workhorse which he was kind of put into that role last season but remember he has never been a featured back in his higher career and don't get us wrong that doesn't mean that he can't turn into a three down back we've seen it in the past but it is something that you do have to hold against him when we've only seen a small sample not only that when he was being this workhorse type of running back Miami themselves had no running backs to rely on remember Damian Williams got injured they traded jhi trick was the only guy in town this season they brought in Francoeur and as much as we are all ready for Gore to just retire at this point if he's on the team he's getting the carries and don't forget about rookie running back Kalin balázs there is a strong chance that this turns into a full-blown committee and at the stage of the draft where Kenyan Drake is going you would be a fool to take a running back that's in a committee right now he's going in the fourth round pick 406 if he was going later we may actually like the pick the problem is this is way too expensive for all the issues that he has Miami themselves has a projected win total of six games that right there that indicates how bad this team is expected to be in 2018 in four running back you always want them to have positive game scripts positive game scripts where they're entering the fourth quarter with a lead you know that they're going to be heavily relying on the rush in the later stages of the game that's just not something we can expect from Miami and last season in 2017 this team ranked 32 of 32 in the amount of rushing attempts that they had in the grand total of touchdowns that the team scored last year for 16 games four rushing touchdowns we can expect this team to take a step forward this season but you're going from a team who is ranked 32 of 32 in rushing attempts and scored four rushing touchdowns it's going to be hard not to see improvement but how much improvement can you really expect this team has absolutely no passing threats you have stills in Parker but the passing attack is significantly worse going from Landry to a combination of Amendola and Albert Wilson not to mention the guy leading the team Ryan Tannehill hasn't played an NFL game in nearly two years the last time he stepped foot on the football field was December of 2016 so to break it down you have a guy who can't be relied on when it comes to his volume you also can't project positive game scripts there is competition for touches and you also have no passing game that's going to keep the opposing defenses honest and it's that's coming from the season before ranking 32nd in the league in rushing attempts and only scoring four rushing touchdowns besides chasing his production from the final five games of last season there just is not much to look forward to for Kenya Trey could he hit maybe but would it be smart to avoid him 100% onto the wide receiver that we have on this list and that is Mike Evans of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and we really wanted to love Mike Evans heading into 2017 believe us we did but now if we had to pick some words that describe Evans he would probably be best described as fool's gold the reason being is because he comes into draft day with a price tag of being the cheapest wide receiver that has finished as a B wide receiver one not just a wide receiver one but the wide receiver one in all of fantasy just to season to go to the everyday Jo who plays in his office League it sounds like a slam dunk pick you're getting a big bodied receiver who is going to get fed targets just like he has been his entire career but the issue is that's just incorrect Mike Evans is still big but the targets are unlikely to come his way the same way that they were in years past first off Jameis Winston he's suspended for the first three games this team is not going to start off very hot have fun sitting your second-round pick in weeks one through three or if you don't sit him you could start him based on his name value and just be disappointed when he sucks because oh don't forget they play the Saints the Eagles and the Steelers in those first three weeks the starting quarterback of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers none other than Ryan Fitzpatrick I think it's going to surprise nobody when he faces these tough defenses that he's going to be absolutely terrible but if I was an owner of Mike Evans it would take some serious balls to be able to sit Mike Evans just after investing a second-round pick on him and honestly I would just like to avoid that conundrum completely and that's not the only problem it gets worse because his schedule is tough the entire season there's an exception with a few good matchups here and there but there is no stretch in the entire season when he just goes from easy matchup to easy matchup consecutively not to mention the team is loaded with more weapons than they've ever had before you have Dee Jack's coming into year 2 which for free-agent receivers it's a pretty big deal Oh Jay Howard Cameron Bray and Chris Godwin who we've talked about a lot on this channel and why we like him so much so in the passing game it's easy to see that each individual player has the ability to step up and at least produce in their specific roles and each player should be able to play their role extremely well but then let's talk about the run game you have Ronald Jones who was a clear investment from this team to try to gain a new identity in the run game it's something that they really haven't been able to figure out while Doug Martin was the primary back dealing with suspension dealing with injury so this is more or less a clean slate for them and they are going to want to get this running game going as well now all these signs they do point to Evans being one of the biggest disappointments when it comes to expectations versus reality and when you leave the draft and you have Mike Evans you're probably going to look at the past few seasons and think you're getting a good deal on him and chop up the value to recency bias but in reality you're going to be chasing his old stats and not taking into account all the issues that he's going to be facing in 2018 the fifth and final player on this list is the late round guy that we think you all should be avoiding and that player is Doug Martin of the Oakland Raiders now would you guys believe it but Doug Martin has now crept up into the 10th round and standard leagues and in PPR he's in the 11th this dudes climbing and you know why it's because he's on the Raiders and you will not find one report online that says Martin is struggling in training camp in fact every single thing you read about Martin would make you think that he is going to be the bonafide starter and that he is a stud and that you should always target him late and rats from the outside looking in you probably see a guy who's been a top 10 running back multiple times in his career he's coming to a team with a good offensive line in the only competition for touches is a 32 year old running back who most people consider washed up and probably cares more about pleasing the fans of Oakland more than his production on the field now the problem with that narrative is that Doug Martin is actually the washed-up one in this offense do you guys know what Doug Martin's yards per carry average are over the past 19 games you're not gonna believe me when I say this but do a 19 game sample the last 19 games he's played he's averaged 2.9 yards per carry that's absolutely insane it doesn't even make sense why he has a job right now especially considering he's always suspended or injured so he's super inefficient he's always suspended or injured and when you I've into histah 'kz even further he looks even worse last season he ranked 53rd of a total of 53 Arby's in elusiveness rating so dead last 45 of 53 and breakaway percentage and if we're talking in the receiving game he dropped four of thirteen catchable targets for an astounding 31 percent drop rate of players in the entire league with seven or more targets once again he ranked dead last and up this type of poor efficiency is not new for Martin 52 of 53 and breakaway percentage in 2016 38 of 42 and elusiveness rating in 2014 and as much as Martin is younger than 32 he's no young buck himself he's coming in at 29 and he's missed 28 games in the past five seasons which averages out to just under six games per year Lynch on the other hand he looked incredible in the last eight games of the season he averaged 4.6 yards per carry throughout the entire season he was fourth in elusiveness rating 11th and breakaway percentage six in yards created and second in tackles evaded so playing well in all of these categories clearly you could see that Lynch was one of the better backs in the league last season he just got limited opportunities so if you're this team and you want to win who do you think they're going to want to give the ball to a terrible Doug Martin were a quote-unquote washed-up Marshawn Lynch you be the judge but for those of you who think Martin could potentially be the change of pace receiving back just remember Doug Martin has never been a strong receiver throughout his entire career and excluding his rookie season he has never had more than 42 targets and also I mentioned he does have that incredibly high drop rate so it's only a matter of time if they do try to use them in the receiving game that they just realized it is a complete waste of time and overall there isn't one singular area where Martin looks actually good every stat you look in he is subpar in every category and has been for a while so there just really isn't a case that you can make for why he can succeed and when you're trying to pick late-round guys you're trying to create these narratives you have to put the puzzle pieces together you have to use the stats at your disposal to create a potential outcome for this player to succeed and for Martin we just can't do that all right everybody that's gonna do it for this video we really hope you enjoyed if you did enjoy the video please hit that like button helps out the channel a lot if you're new to the channel hit that subscribe button we thank you all for watching and we will catch you on the next one

Top 5 Players To Avoid – 2018 Fantasy Football

20 thoughts on “Top 5 Players To Avoid – 2018 Fantasy Football

  • July 31, 2019 at 12:14 am
    Permalink

    This video aged well lol

    Reply
  • July 31, 2019 at 12:14 am
    Permalink

    Started Mike Evans in game one and got 29 points! 😂

    Reply
  • July 31, 2019 at 12:14 am
    Permalink

    Their defence had injuries everywhere last year. This year they're projected like top 5 easy lol.

    Reply
  • July 31, 2019 at 12:14 am
    Permalink

    I got Watson and Wentz I'm not worried. My league has like 3 guys who know what they're doing and some that get lucky. I was able to get Zeke with the 6th pick and Saquone in the 2nd 😂 Steffon Diggs TY Hilton Kyle Rudolph and Jags defence makes for a pretty stacked team. Oh and I got Watson i believe in the hype but in case he busts I have Wentz on my bench 😂

    Reply
  • July 31, 2019 at 12:14 am
    Permalink

    I got Mike Evans in the 4th round and Engram in the 8th round. Honestly i think they both may get dips in regular targets but an upbeat red zone targets, they're the biggest best options for their teams and both teams will have more options leading them to get their mismatches and one on ones

    Reply
  • July 31, 2019 at 12:14 am
    Permalink

    I’m sorry but saying Houston has bad defense is actually a good thing for Watson because it keeps him passing the ball more, what was your point with that??

    Reply
  • July 31, 2019 at 12:14 am
    Permalink

    Deandre Hopkins is the answer

    Reply
  • July 31, 2019 at 12:14 am
    Permalink

    Not avoiding Watson or Engram… felt like the points you made were why they will be successful.

    Watson only had 2 rushing TDs… that will increase. Fuller is back healthy as well. They were fire together.

    Engram has Barkley and Beckham to take the focus off of him. Their line is also better. Strongly disagree w those two.

    Reply
  • July 31, 2019 at 12:14 am
    Permalink

    Although I agree that deshaun Watson will be great this season like most commentators of this post. I see what they are saying with where he is being drafted could be too high. I think that he is gonna be around the 300 point range, give or take. If that’s the case I would peg him for a top 4-5 qb and worth taking at that spot. But anyone who takes a QB before the 4-5 round is an idiot and too be honest you can wait til the 6-7 round easily and get a qb who will be at about 275 points (standard scoring) for a cheaper price either way qb is the least to worry about unless you are in a deep league or a two qb league.

    Reply
  • July 31, 2019 at 12:14 am
    Permalink

    Deshaun Watson is one of those guys who comes along and breaks the analytics. Think he does it again.

    Reply
  • July 31, 2019 at 12:14 am
    Permalink

    Dumbest channel. And you take QB early smh.

    Reply
  • July 31, 2019 at 12:14 am
    Permalink

    Honestly I think if Watson stays healthy, he can easily be the best PPR qb in the league

    Reply
  • July 31, 2019 at 12:14 am
    Permalink

    Bad defense means Watson throws more, right?

    Reply
  • July 31, 2019 at 12:14 am
    Permalink

    poor TB, lol

    Reply
  • July 31, 2019 at 12:14 am
    Permalink

    Because Tampa is otherwise "Loaded with weapons" LOL.

    D Jax (coulda sworn he retired couple years ago). OJ Howard (a legit blocking TE). Cameron Brate (obvious perennial STUD I totally forgot, yeah right). And… Who was it, Chris Goblin (what.. who??). Ohhhh you've talked about him in previous vids… my bad. Must be a bonafide star. It's great how some people rationalize their opinions, effing Hilarious. Albeit entertaining

    Reply
  • July 31, 2019 at 12:14 am
    Permalink

    Nice! I see you workin.. trying to devalue Watsons appeal so you can snatch him up in your personal drafts. Hey, at least somebody out there isn't publicly stroking his nuts 24/7 like all the other media outlets. I can only hope there are a few peeps in my draft who watch this vid. Thank you, & keep spreading that anti-Watson word

    Reply
  • July 31, 2019 at 12:14 am
    Permalink

    Aaron Rodgers is over rated.

    Reply
  • July 31, 2019 at 12:14 am
    Permalink

    Damn I fucked up with engram

    Reply
  • July 31, 2019 at 12:14 am
    Permalink

    I wouldn't be rushing to pick up Amari Cooper either.

    Reply

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *